| |
WORLD |
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONVENTIONAL
OIL ENDOWMENT |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1999 |
| |
Ref. date |
end 1999 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revised |
4/29/2000 |
Gb (billion barrels) |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
PRODUCTION |
|
RESERVES |
|
|
|
DISCOVERED |
|
|
Disc. |
Peak |
Pk/ |
% |
Dep. |
DATES |
| |
|
|
Cum. |
|
Reported |
|
|
Median |
|
YET-TO-FIND |
|
in |
Disc/ |
Ult |
Prod |
Rate |
Mid- |
Peak |
| |
|
kb/d |
Prod. |
5yr |
World |
O&GJ |
Adjust |
Factor |
Prob. |
|
|
YET-TO-PRODUCE |
Giants |
Prod |
|
|
|
Dep. |
Prod |
| |
Country |
1999 |
Gb |
Trend |
Oil |
|
+/- |
|
(P50) |
|
|
|
ULTIMATE |
|
Lag |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
Saudi Arabia |
7450 |
85.9 |
-1% |
259.10 |
261.00 |
0.00 |
0.80 |
208.8 |
294.7 |
15.3 |
224.1 |
310 |
85% |
61 |
1.7% |
28% |
1.2% |
2015 |
2009 |
| 2 |
FSU* |
6848 |
135.3 |
-3% |
66.64 |
57.00 |
-24.83 |
2.3 |
74.0 |
209.3 |
20.7 |
94.7 |
230 |
47% |
24 |
2.0% |
59% |
2.5% |
1991 |
1988 |
| 3 |
|
3976 |
165.2 |
-4% |
22.01 |
21.03 |
-9.00 |
1.5 |
18.1 |
183.2 |
6.8 |
24.8 |
190 |
26% |
41 |
1.8% |
87% |
5.5% |
1970 |
1971 |
| 4 |
Iraq |
2653 |
24.9 |
68% |
98.98 |
112.50 |
-1.74 |
0.85 |
94.1 |
119.1 |
15.9 |
110.1 |
135 |
50% |
81 |
1.8% |
18% |
0.9% |
2021 |
2009 |
| 5 |
Iran |
3462 |
50.4 |
-1% |
92.87 |
89.70 |
-1.26 |
0.70 |
61.9 |
112.3 |
7.7 |
69.6 |
120 |
63% |
13 |
1.9% |
42% |
2.1% |
2006 |
1974 |
| 6 |
Kuwait |
1633 |
29.0 |
-2% |
92.36 |
94.00 |
-4.84 |
0.60 |
53.5 |
82.5 |
2.5 |
56.0 |
85 |
95% |
71 |
1.4% |
34% |
1.1% |
2013 |
2009 |
| 7 |
Abu Dhabi |
1689 |
16.0 |
-2% |
62.50 |
92.20 |
-6.09 |
0.70 |
60.3 |
76.3 |
3.7 |
64.0 |
80 |
70% |
45 |
1.7% |
20% |
1.0% |
2020 |
2009 |
| 8 |
Venezuela |
2087 |
38.5 |
1% |
45.50 |
72.60 |
-45.00 |
1.0 |
27.6 |
66.1 |
8.9 |
36.5 |
75 |
73% |
29 |
0.6% |
51% |
2.0% |
1998 |
1970 |
| 9 |
Mexico |
2931 |
26.6 |
2% |
28.40 |
28.40 |
0.00 |
0.8 |
22.7 |
49.3 |
5.7 |
28.4 |
55 |
53% |
23 |
2.0% |
48% |
3.6% |
2000 |
2000 |
| 10 |
China |
3202 |
24.9 |
1% |
33.52 |
24.00 |
0.00 |
2.0 |
25.4 |
50.4 |
2.6 |
28.1 |
53 |
43% |
41 |
2.3% |
47% |
4.0% |
2000 |
2000 |
| 11 |
Libya |
1336 |
21.4 |
-1% |
26.90 |
29.50 |
-2.02 |
0.85 |
23.4 |
44.7 |
3.3 |
26.6 |
48 |
62% |
9 |
2.6% |
45% |
1.8% |
2004 |
1970 |
| 12 |
Nigeria |
1969 |
20.2 |
1% |
22.50 |
22.50 |
-1.72 |
1.00 |
20.8 |
41.0 |
1.0 |
21.8 |
42 |
21% |
12 |
2.1% |
48% |
3.2% |
2000 |
1979 |
| 13 |
U.K. |
2735 |
17.0 |
1% |
5.15 |
5.15 |
0.00 |
2.6 |
13.4 |
30.4 |
0.6 |
14.0 |
31 |
42% |
25 |
3.2% |
55% |
6.7% |
1997 |
1999 |
| 14 |
Caspian |
225 |
1.7 |
3% |
|
0.00 |
1.0 |
5.0 |
6.7 |
23.3 |
28.3 |
30 |
0% |
20 |
3.0% |
6% |
0.3% |
2029 |
2030 |
| 15 |
Norway |
2969 |
12.8 |
1% |
11.90 |
10.79 |
0.00 |
1.4 |
15.1 |
27.9 |
1.1 |
16.2 |
29 |
45% |
21 |
3.9% |
44% |
6.3% |
2000 |
2000 |
| 16 |
Indonesia |
1288 |
18.5 |
2% |
8.64 |
4.98 |
-1.45 |
2.5 |
8.8 |
4.1 |
0.7 |
9.5 |
28 |
42% |
22 |
2.2% |
66% |
4.7% |
1990 |
1977 |
| 17 |
Canada |
1100 |
17.6 |
-1% |
5.58 |
4.93 |
-0.40 |
1.6 |
7.2 |
24.8 |
1.2 |
8.4 |
26 |
44% |
15 |
2.4% |
68% |
4.5% |
1988 |
1973 |
| 18 |
Algeria |
766 |
11.2 |
0% |
13.80 |
9.20 |
-2.88 |
1.75 |
11.1 |
22.3 |
2.7 |
13.8 |
25 |
54% |
22 |
1.8% |
45% |
2.0% |
2003 |
1978 |
| 19 |
N.Zone |
500 |
6.0 |
3% |
4.65 |
5.00 |
-1.35 |
2.00 |
7.3 |
13.3 |
0.7 |
8.0 |
14 |
68% |
47 |
1.4% |
43% |
2.2% |
2005 |
1998 |
| 20 |
Oman |
895 |
6.0 |
1% |
16.36 |
5.28 |
-0.33 |
1.3 |
6.4 |
12.4 |
0.6 |
7.0 |
13 |
32% |
29 |
2.8% |
46% |
4.4% |
2001 |
2001 |
| 21 |
Egypt |
851 |
7.8 |
-2% |
3.71 |
2.95 |
0.00 |
1.25 |
3.7 |
11.5 |
1.0 |
4.7 |
12.5 |
36% |
22 |
2.6% |
63% |
6.2% |
1994 |
1996 |
| 22 |
Qatar |
633 |
6.0 |
8% |
5.34 |
3.70 |
-1.19 |
2.3 |
5.8 |
11.8 |
0.2 |
6.0 |
12.0 |
57% |
59 |
1.9% |
50% |
3.7% |
1999 |
1999 |
| 23 |
Argentina |
807 |
7.4 |
2% |
2.59 |
2.75 |
0.00 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
10.3 |
0.7 |
3.6 |
11.0 |
28% |
38 |
2.8% |
68% |
7.6% |
1992 |
1998 |
| 24 |
India |
661 |
4.9 |
0% |
3.03 |
4.84 |
0.00 |
1.1 |
5.3 |
10.2 |
0.8 |
6.1 |
11.0 |
27% |
28 |
2.5% |
44% |
3.8% |
2002 |
2002 |
| 25 |
Colombia |
825 |
5.1 |
9% |
2.60 |
2.58 |
-0.30 |
2.0 |
4.6 |
9.6 |
0.9 |
5.4 |
10.5 |
39% |
9 |
3.0% |
48% |
5.2% |
2000 |
2000 |
| 26 |
Malaysia |
727 |
4.5 |
2% |
4.65 |
3.90 |
-0.53 |
1.1 |
3.7 |
8.2 |
0.8 |
4.5 |
9.0 |
12% |
24 |
3.1% |
50% |
5.6% |
1999 |
1997 |
| 27 |
Australia |
474 |
5.0 |
-1% |
1.77 |
2.90 |
-0.17 |
1.3 |
3.4 |
8.4 |
0.6 |
4.0 |
9.0 |
29% |
26 |
2.3% |
56% |
4.2% |
1996 |
1990 |
| 28 |
Angola |
762 |
3.8 |
0% |
4.03 |
5.41 |
-4.47 |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7.5 |
1.0 |
4.7 |
8.5 |
15% |
30 |
3.6% |
44% |
5.6% |
2001 |
2001 |
| 29 |
Romania |
125 |
5.6 |
-2% |
0.89 |
1.44 |
-0.05 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
7.0 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
7.5 |
21% |
119 |
1.5% |
75% |
2.4% |
1973 |
1976 |
| 30 |
Brasil |
406 |
4.1 |
5% |
7.50 |
7.36 |
-5.00 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
6.5 |
0.5 |
2.9 |
7.0 |
0% |
11 |
3.0% |
59% |
4.9% |
1995 |
1986 |
| 31 |
Ecuador |
372 |
2.8 |
-1% |
2.59 |
2.12 |
-0.56 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
5.8 |
0.3 |
3.3 |
6.10 |
37% |
31 |
2.3% |
47% |
4.0% |
2000 |
2000 |
| 32 |
Syria |
537 |
3.2 |
-2% |
2.30 |
2.50 |
-1.04 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
5.4 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
6.00 |
33% |
29 |
3.7% |
54% |
6.6% |
1998 |
1995 |
| 33 |
Dubai |
301 |
3.4 |
-1% |
1.01 |
4.00 |
-0.04 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
4.4 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
4.75 |
0% |
21 |
3.3% |
72% |
7.7% |
1990 |
1991 |
| 34 |
Gabon |
339 |
2.5 |
-1% |
2.57 |
2.50 |
-1.25 |
1.20 |
1.5 |
4.0 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
4.50 |
40% |
11 |
3.0% |
56% |
5.9% |
1997 |
1996 |
| 35 |
Brunei |
151 |
2.8 |
0% |
1.02 |
1.35 |
-0.51 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
4.1 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
4.25 |
74% |
13 |
2.1% |
66% |
3.6% |
1987 |
1978 |
| 36 |
Trinidad |
124 |
3.1 |
-1% |
0.60 |
0.61 |
0.00 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
3.67 |
0.33 |
0.93 |
4.00 |
15% |
22 |
2.2% |
77% |
4.6% |
1980 |
1981 |
| 37 |
Yemen |
406 |
1.2 |
4% |
1.85 |
4.00 |
-1.09 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
2.98 |
0.52 |
2.27 |
3.50 |
14% |
25 |
5.1% |
35% |
6.1% |
2003 |
2003 |
| 38 |
Peru |
103 |
2.2 |
-3% |
0.77 |
0.36 |
0.00 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
2.93 |
0.57 |
1.28 |
3.50 |
14% |
122 |
2.1% |
63% |
2.9% |
1987 |
1983 |
| 39 |
Congo |
240 |
1.2 |
7% |
1.70 |
1.51 |
-0.09 |
0.80 |
1.1 |
2.36 |
0.64 |
1.78 |
3.00 |
17% |
18 |
3.4% |
41% |
4.7% |
2002 |
2002 |
| 40 |
Germany |
55 |
1.9 |
-1% |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.00 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
2.29 |
0.21 |
0.64 |
2.50 |
0% |
15 |
2.3% |
74% |
3.0% |
1977 |
1967 |
| 41 |
Vietnam |
190 |
0.5 |
1% |
2.00 |
0.60 |
-0.20 |
4.0 |
1.6 |
2.10 |
0.40 |
1.99 |
2.50 |
20% |
32 |
4.1% |
21% |
3.4% |
2007 |
2007 |
| 42 |
Denmark |
293 |
0.9 |
11% |
0.88 |
1.07 |
0.00 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.95 |
0.30 |
1.32 |
2.25 |
0% |
30 |
5.2% |
42% |
7.5% |
2001 |
2001 |
| 43 |
Italy |
101 |
0.8 |
0% |
0.61 |
0.62 |
-0.04 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
1.66 |
0.14 |
1.01 |
1.80 |
0% |
21 |
2.4% |
44% |
3.5% |
2002 |
2002 |
| 44 |
Tunisia |
83 |
1.1 |
-1% |
0.29 |
0.31 |
-0.03 |
1.75 |
0.5 |
1.60 |
0.15 |
0.63 |
1.75 |
46% |
10 |
2.5% |
64% |
4.6% |
1991 |
1981 |
| 45 |
Bahrain |
102 |
1.1 |
-1% |
n.a. |
0.15 |
0.00 |
1.0 |
0.15 |
1.27 |
0.23 |
0.38 |
1.50 |
67% |
62 |
2.6% |
75% |
8.9% |
1985 |
1993 |
| 46 |
Cameroon |
125 |
0.96 |
4% |
0.66 |
0.40 |
-0.52 |
-4.00 |
0.50 |
1.45 |
0.05 |
0.54 |
1.50 |
0% |
10 |
4.4% |
64% |
7.8% |
1994 |
1986 |
| 47 |
Turkey |
68 |
0.78 |
0% |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.9 |
0.27 |
1.04 |
0.16 |
0.42 |
1.20 |
0% |
23 |
2.5% |
65% |
5.5% |
1992 |
1992 |
| 48 |
Netherlands |
59 |
0.79 |
-3% |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.00 |
2.0 |
0.21 |
1.00 |
0.10 |
0.31 |
1.10 |
0% |
6 |
3.0% |
72% |
6.4% |
1989 |
1987 |
| 49 |
Sharjah |
70 |
0.43 |
8% |
n.a |
1.50 |
-0.18 |
0.3 |
0.40 |
0.82 |
0.18 |
0.57 |
1.00 |
0% |
25 |
2.5% |
43% |
4.3% |
2005 |
2005 |
| 50 |
Papua |
100 |
0.28 |
0% |
0.56 |
0.33 |
-0.04 |
1.5 |
0.44 |
0.73 |
0.22 |
0.67 |
0.95 |
0% |
6 |
4.9% |
30% |
5.2% |
2003 |
1993 |
| 51 |
Thailand |
75 |
0.29 |
9% |
0.39 |
0.30 |
-0.03 |
1.8 |
0.47 |
0.76 |
0.14 |
0.61 |
0.90 |
0% |
23 |
3.9% |
32% |
4.3% |
2004 |
2004 |
| 52 |
Austria |
21 |
0.76 |
0% |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
1.2 |
0.10 |
0.86 |
0.04 |
0.14 |
0.90 |
57% |
7 |
2.8% |
84% |
5.1% |
1970 |
1955 |
| 53 |
France |
31 |
0.69 |
-8% |
0.13 |
0.11 |
-0.01 |
1.5 |
0.14 |
0.84 |
0.06 |
0.21 |
0.90 |
0% |
30 |
2.8% |
77% |
5.2% |
1986 |
1988 |
| 54 |
Hungary |
24 |
0.68 |
-6% |
0.05 |
0.11 |
0.00 |
0.5 |
0.05 |
0.73 |
0.17 |
0.22 |
0.90 |
0% |
13 |
1.9% |
75% |
3.8% |
1983 |
1977 |
| 55 |
Albania |
6 |
0.53 |
-8% |
0.18 |
0.17 |
-0.04 |
1.3 |
0.16 |
0.69 |
0.11 |
0.27 |
0.80 |
0% |
58 |
3.7% |
66% |
0.7% |
1986 |
1986 |
| 56 |
Pakistan |
52 |
0.40 |
-1% |
0.21 |
0.21 |
-0.06 |
1.3 |
0.20 |
0.60 |
0.15 |
0.35 |
0.75 |
0% |
9 |
3.7% |
54% |
5.2% |
1997 |
1992 |
| 57 |
Bolivia |
28 |
0.39 |
0% |
0.15 |
0.13 |
-0.03 |
2.0 |
0.20 |
0.59 |
0.11 |
0.31 |
0.70 |
0% |
8 |
2.5% |
55% |
3.2% |
1996 |
1974 |
| 58 |
Philippines |
1 |
0.05 |
-14% |
0.31 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
1.1 |
0.32 |
0.36 |
0.24 |
0.55 |
0.60 |
0% |
0 |
5.2% |
8% |
0.1% |
2011 |
2011 |
| 59 |
Chile |
9 |
0.41 |
-2% |
0.08 |
0.15 |
-0.01 |
0.5 |
0.07 |
0.48 |
0.07 |
0.14 |
0.55 |
0% |
22 |
2.7% |
75% |
2.3% |
1981 |
1982 |
| |
|
|
|
| REGIONS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
ME Gulf |
17387 |
212 |
2.7% |
610.5 |
654.4 |
-15.3 |
0.8 |
485.9 |
698 |
46 |
532 |
744 |
70% |
60 |
1.5% |
29% |
1.2% |
2015 |
2008 |
| 2 |
Eurasia |
10430 |
167 |
-1.1% |
101.3 |
82.7 |
-35.9 |
2.3 |
106.0 |
273 |
49 |
155 |
322 |
41% |
36 |
1.2% |
52% |
2.4% |
1997 |
2000 |
| 3 |
N.America |
5076 |
183 |
-2.5% |
27.6 |
26.0 |
-9.4 |
1.5 |
25.3 |
208 |
8 |
33 |
216 |
28% |
42 |
1.8% |
85% |
5.5% |
1972 |
1972 |
| 4 |
L.America |
7692 |
91 |
5.0% |
90.9 |
117.0 |
-50.9 |
1.0 |
64.7 |
155 |
18 |
83 |
173 |
55% |
21 |
1.7% |
52% |
3.4% |
1998 |
1998 |
| 5 |
Africa |
6471 |
70 |
2.3% |
76.2 |
74.3 |
-13.0 |
1.1 |
66.3 |
136 |
10 |
77 |
147 |
42% |
18 |
1.7% |
48% |
3.0% |
2000 |
1979 |
| 6 |
W.Europe |
6263 |
36 |
6.6% |
19.2 |
18.3 |
0.0 |
1.7 |
31.3 |
67 |
3 |
34 |
69 |
38% |
24 |
3.2% |
51% |
6.3% |
1998 |
1998 |
| 7 |
East |
3719 |
37 |
1.3% |
22.6 |
19.7 |
-3.0 |
1.5 |
25.6 |
63 |
4 |
30 |
67 |
33% |
30 |
2.1% |
56% |
4.4% |
1996 |
1997 |
| 8 |
ME.Other |
3010 |
22 |
3.9% |
16.4 |
21.4 |
-3.9 |
1.0 |
18.0 |
40 |
3 |
21 |
43 |
34% |
35 |
2.6% |
52% |
4.9% |
1998 |
1998 |
| 9 |
Other |
365 |
4 |
4.5% |
0.0 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
4.2 |
8 |
0 |
4 |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
Unforeseen |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
10 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Non-Swing |
43025 |
594 |
1.6% |
354 |
362 |
-115 |
1.38 |
341 |
935 |
121 |
462 |
1056 |
33% |
37 |
1.5% |
56% |
3.4% |
1994 |
1997 |
| WORLD |
|
60411 |
822 |
1.9% |
965 |
1016 |
-130 |
0.93 |
827 |
1649 |
151 |
978 |
1800 |
48% |
40 |
1.2% |
46% |
2.2% |
2003 |
2005 |
| OTHER LIQUID HYDROCARBONS |
|
|
|
(tentative
and uncertain) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| "Heavy" etc |
|
2000 |
16 |
|
|
|
|
|
44 |
(currently deemed producible) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
| Polar |
|
1050 |
14 |
|
|
|
|
6 |
19 |
6 |
11 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
1988 |
| Deepwater |
|
1200 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
25 |
27 |
58 |
83 |
85 |
|
|
|
|
|
2012 |
| NGL/condensate |
|
4300 |
50 |
|
|
|
|
160 |
210 |
40 |
200 |
250 |
|
|
|
|
|
2033 |
| Unidentified |
|
2039 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
19 |
6 |
16 |
25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
subtotal |
10589 |
90 |
|
|
|
|
|
245 |
275 |
110 |
310 |
385 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2013 |
| TOTAL |
|
71000 |
912 |
|
|
|
|
|
1072 |
1924 |
261 |
1289 |
2185 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2010 |
| Conventional oil exludes NGL; condensate; oil
from coal and "shale"; bitumen; Extra-Heavy oil; Heavy oil
(10-17.5API); polar oil; deepwater oil (>500m WD) enhanced recovery |
| (revisiting an old field) N-America is US-48 and Canada; Eurasia is
China, FSU, & E. Europe; Europe is Norway to Italy; ME-Gulf is Abu Dhabi,
Iran, Iraq,Kuwait, NZ and Saudi Arabia; |
| Unforeseen is unforeseen discovery or reserve
revision anywhere; Other is small or non-producing; Non-Swing is World ex ME
Gulf. "Adjust" removes non-conventional and cum. prod. of |
| periods
of unchanged O&GJ reports. "Factor" converts reported Proved to
Median Probability. |
|
|
| ALL
ESTIMATES SUBJECT TO MODIFICATION BASED ON NEW INFORMATION AND INTERPRETATION
OF UNRELIABLE INPUT DATA |
|
|
|
|
| |
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|